In the last one Emerson College Survey In Wednesday’s poll, Trump has the largest national lead since Emerson began testing the 2024 race in June 2022, 15 months ago.
Emerson said there was a “Trump bump” in the latest poll that showed he was supported by 59 percent of Republican voters. Second is Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) with 12%, followed by Vivek Ramaswamy with 7%, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Vice President Mike Pence with 5%, former Gov. South Carolina’s Nikki Haley with 3%, and Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) at 2%. Five percent are undecided.
In his review, Emerson said, “Emerson College Polling’s September national survey of American voters finds former President Donald Trump with a 47-point lead over his closest competitor in the Republican presidential primary, his biggest lead since tracking this race in June 2022. Trump’s support rose 9 points from last month’s national poll.”
Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said: “The Trump voter remains resilient, and despite the post-debate poll dip in August, Trump has now widened his lead and improved his position since before the first debate”.
But just as no GOP challenger appears capable of catching Trump in national polls, nothing changes the outcome of head-to-head general polls pitting Trump against President Joe Biden. In Emerson’s latest, it’s still a dead heat at 45% for both.
Still, Kimball found Biden’s health hanging over voters, suggesting any further decline could affect the final vote.
“Republican and independent voters think Biden’s age makes the job of president too difficult, with 79 percent and 54 percent, respectively, while only a third of Democrats say the same,” Kimball said. “Of those who believe Biden’s age makes the job too difficult, 67% plan to vote for Trump in a general election, while 21% would vote for Biden and 12% are unsure.”