Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and other third-party candidates appear to be undermining President Joe Biden — and boosting former President Donald Trump — as they head to the polls in four key battleground states, according to a poll released Thursday.
Trump's lead is growing against Biden among likely voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan and North Carolina as Kennedy, independent Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are on the ballot. seconds in The Cook Political Report/BSG/GS Strategy Group survey. The margins between Trump and Biden are unchanged in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in a five-way race, while the former president's nine-point lead is down one point in Nevada.
With Kennedy and the other third-party candidates included in the poll, Trump's margins grew from one to four points in Arizona; two to three points at Michigan; three to four points in Georgia; and seven to eight points in North Carolina.
The poll found Kennedy with 10% in Nevada, Arizona and Georgia; 7% in Pennsylvania and Michigan; 8% in North Carolina; and 9% in Wisconsin.
Regardless of the presence of Kennedy and the other third-party candidates on the ballot, Trump leads Biden in every battleground state polled except Wisconsin, where the two were tied in both scenarios.
The Biden campaignthe Democratic National Committeeand another external groups have stepped up efforts to fight Kennedy and other third-party candidates in 2024 over concerns that their presence on the ballot could shift more votes away from the president than Trump.
RealClearPolitics' averages for each battleground state suggest Trump's lead grows against Biden as Kennedy, West and Stein are on the ballot in Arizona, snowfall, Wisconsin, pennsylvania, North Carolinai Georgia. Conversely, the former president loses ground in a five-way race Michigan.
trump Lost Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia and Michigan last cycle after having it he won all in 2016. Nevada voted Democratic in both cycles, while Trump secured North Carolina in 2016 and 2020.
The Cook Political Report/BSG/GS Strategy Group poll polled 3,969 likely voters in the seven battleground states May 6-13 with a margin of error of plus or minus 1.6 percent.
Individually, the survey gathered 730 respondents in Pennsylvania, 606 in Michigan, 601 in North Carolina, 600 in Georgia, 527 in Arizona, 503 in Wisconsin and 402 in Nevada. The poll gave margins of error of plus or minus 3.6 percent in Pennsylvania; 4% in North Carolina, Michigan and Georgia; 4.3% in Arizona; 4.4% in Wisconsin; and 4.9% in Nevada.
The Biden, Trump and Kennedy campaigns did not immediately respond to requests for comment from the Daily Caller News Foundation.
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