In a surprising turn of events, Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are neck and neck in a head-to-head showdown in Virginia, with a new survey from Roanoke College's Institute for Policy and Opinion Research that revealed a deadlock between the two candidates five months before the presidential election. The poll, released Wednesday, shows the two candidates with 42 percent support in a head-to-head scenario, while Biden leads by a 2-point margin when third-party candidates are taken into account.
# New General Election Poll – Virginia
🔴 Trump 42%
🔵 Biden 42%Biden won 2020 by a 10% margin!
Roanoke #31 – 711 LV – 5/21
— Political Polling (@PpollingNumbers) May 29, 2024
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The latest data marks a significant shift in Trump's favor, given his previous losses in the state in the 2016 and 2020 elections. The poll also indicates a decline in Biden's lead compared to previous polls , raising alarm bells among Democrats as the next election nears.
While only a small percentage of likely voters remain undecided, the poll highlights a notable share of voters open to supporting candidates other than Biden or Trump, indicating potential volatility in the race. Independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent Cornell West also appear in the polls, further complicating the electoral landscape.
We told you Virginia was close…
🚨Roanoke College poll: Biden and Trump tied in Virginia🚨https://t.co/pOaYXaOPWn
— Karoline Leavitt (@kleavittnh) May 29, 2024
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Political analysts say Virginia could become a battleground state in the upcoming election, with the candidates' favorability ratings reflecting the tense political climate. Both Trump and Biden are viewed negatively by a significant portion of voters, with concerns about the economy playing a vital role in determining voter sentiment.
Trump and Biden are tied in Virginia according to a poll released today. Biden won Virginia by ten points in 2020. Trump's team has said they see Virginia and Minnesota as winnable based on their polls. Neither state is considered a battleground by the national media…yet. https://t.co/WrduZKEJA4
— Clay Travis (@ClayTravis) May 29, 2024
As the campaign season progresses, candidates are likely to focus on issues such as the economy, immigration and abortion, which are seen as top concerns among Virginia voters. The poll highlights contrasting views between Republicans and Democrats on the legitimacy of past election results, underscoring deep divisions in American politics.
With Roanoke College's Institute for Policy and Opinion Research conducting interviews with 711 adult Virginia residents, the weighted margin of error of 4.24% underscores the significance of these findings. As the race heats up, both sides are gearing up for a fierce battle for the crucial state of Virginia, setting the stage for a closely watched election showdown.
Just before Super Tuesday, almost three months ago, Biden was up 4%. I will see:
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