Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia has refused to rule out the possibility of challenging President Joe Biden in the Democratic primaries in 2024. In an interview with Fox Business host Larry Kudlow, Senator Manchin indicated that he is concerned about the direction of the country and that he will make a decision on where he can help the country the best he possibly can. He has expressed his desire to be a part of the moderate middle and has stated that he belongs to one team – the American team.
Senator Manchin is a fiscally responsible and socially compassionate politician, and he believes that most Americans feel the same way. He has not ruled out the possibility of running on a third party, stating that it is important to have a Plan B available and ready to go if the current political climate becomes too polarized.
The news that Senator Manchin is considering a primary challenge to President Biden may come as a surprise to some, particularly as the President is a member of the same party as the Senator. However, it is not uncommon for politicians to challenge sitting presidents in their own party. In recent history, this has happened with Presidents Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, and George H.W. Bush.
One reason why Senator Manchin may be considering a challenge to President Biden is because of his concerns about the direction of the country. Senator Manchin has been a vocal critic of some of the more progressive policies being proposed by members of his own party, particularly when it comes to issues such as climate change and taxation.
Senator Manchin’s willingness to challenge President Biden in a primary may also be a sign of a growing divide within the Democratic Party. There are some Democrats who believe that the party needs to move further to the left to remain relevant to younger voters, while others, like Senator Manchin, believe that the party needs to be more moderate in order to appeal to voters in the center of the political spectrum.
This divide has been on display in other recent political contests, such as the Democratic primary for the New York City mayoral race, where progressive candidate Maya Wiley failed to secure the nomination despite being endorsed by high-profile progressives like Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
So what would a primary challenge from Senator Manchin mean for President Biden’s re-election prospects? It is difficult to say for certain, but any primary challenge to a sitting president is likely to be damaging, at least in the short term. Primary challenges can cause divisions within a party, and may lead to lower voter turnout and weaker support for the eventual nominee.
However, it is worth noting that primary challenges are not always successful. In fact, they often fail to gain traction and can end up hurting the challenger’s political career. For example, Senator Ted Kennedy mounted a primary challenge against President Jimmy Carter in 1980, but ultimately lost.
It is also worth pointing out that there are several factors that will determine President Biden’s re-election prospects in 2024. These include the state of the economy, how well he manages the COVID-19 pandemic, and whether he is successful in pushing through his policy agenda.
Regardless of whether Senator Manchin ends up challenging President Biden in 2024, his comments indicate that there is a growing divide within the Democratic Party that is likely to continue to play out in future elections. As the party struggles to reconcile the competing demands of its progressive and moderate wings, it is unclear what the future holds for the party and American politics more broadly.