The interesting type of artificial intelligence is Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). In the absence of this crucial generality, “AI” equals “software”. We have a lot of software. It is both useful and dangerous. It has transformed our world for both better and worse and will continue to do so. But whatever we’ve done with the software, it’s all up to us. If our culture collapsed, so would our software stack.
The big implications of AGI begin with the fact that it implies the possibility of fully autonomous robotic industrial ecosystems that require no supervision or human labor. With only modest extrapolations from today’s industrial technology, AGI systems could design, run and manage a closed loop of robotic workers to customize mines and factories and manufacture all their own industrial components. Imagine relatively inexpensive AGI-controlled robots driving existing industrial equipment. Many industries already focus human labor on tasks weighted toward judgment, creativity, and flexibility. With AGI, these limitations disappear: industrial IT systems become capable of creative oversight and business strategy, and highly flexible general-purpose industrial robots become much more viable.
Given the potential benefits, this kind of robotization can happen with enthusiastic human help. Some aspects of industrial work and management may go beyond first-generation AGI robotics. However, the combined human-AGI industrial ecosystem will have a strong incentive to improve designs and build next-generation products that are more capable. Given the industrial scaling and enhancement properties of computers, and the greater degree of optimization that can be applied to artificial intelligence, this could lead to a “superintelligence” capability that could replace all human labor in the entire industrial ecosystem and surpass any human being.
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