As the Senate primaries begin, former President Trump will be leading in Nevada, a key state for the 2024 presidential election. A recent poll shows Trump has a 3% lead over current President Biden. Of likely voters in Nevada, 48% favor Trump, while 45% would vote for Biden if the election were held today. That lead increases to 7 points when considering the possible inclusion of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., whose eligibility is currently being contested by state Democrats.
Trump's popularity is particularly notable among voters over 50, who prefer him to Biden by double digits. However, Biden still maintains a lead among Hispanic voters in the same age group. Hispanics make up 22% of the eligible voting population in Nevada, making their vote crucial.
Nevada is a closely watched state that could significantly influence the outcome of the upcoming presidential election. The state has not favored a Republican presidential candidate since 2004, but Biden's narrow victory in 2020 suggests a possible shift in political preference. This change is further supported by the recent impeachment of Democratic Governor Steve Sisolak by Republican Governor Joe Lombardo.
Lombardo has expressed concern about Nevada voters' dissatisfaction with Biden's handling of the economy. A recent poll found that only 40 percent of voters 50 and older approve of Biden's job performance, while 59 percent disapprove. In contrast, 56% of voters over 50 approve of Trump's first term.
The poll also touched on Nevada's U.S. Senate race, with Sen. Jacky Rosen leading against Republican challenger Sam Brown. Rosen's lead is largely due to strong support from Hispanic and Latino voters. Key issues for Nevada voters include the economy, rising food prices, immigration and border security. The upcoming election could be heavily influenced by split voters, indicating a potentially more competitive race than in recent years.
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