The RCP electoral map STILL has Trump winning Harris while carrying 4 key battleground states

New data showed former President Donald Trump overcame a key hurdle to victory in November with a warning about battleground states.

Even before President Joe Biden stepped down to allow Vice President Kamala Harris to be crowned as the presumptive Democratic nominee, all eyes remained on how swing state divisions were shaping up for the general elections On Saturday, according to the RealClearPolitics electoral map, Trump was favored to win by taking four of the six most contested states without a draw.

According to the last mapthe Trump-Vance ticket would claim victory on Election Day by winning a total of 287 electoral votes to the Harris-Walz team's 251.

Those numbers included GOP wins in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania, while they are currently projected to lose Michigan and Wisconsin.

The RCP poll wasn't the only notable projection for Trump, as Trafalgar Group's InsiderAdvantage polling data collected Aug. 6-8 of 5,600 likely voters saw the president was returning even more quietly to the White House, as the poll predicted a red victory in Wisconsin. the electoral map at 297-241.

#Updated Electoral map based on Trafalgar/Insider Advantage

Trump 297
Harris 241

North Carolina – Trump +4
Nevada – Trump +3
Pennsylvania – Trump +2
Georgia* – Trump +2
Wisconsin – Trump +1
Arizona – Trump +1
Michigan – Harris +2@Polymercat… https://t.co/O1oSHjv7oy pic.twitter.com/rbXd0YYDr9

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 9, 2024

Both maps showed the president victorious again in North Carolina after winning the Tar Heel State in both 2016 and 2020.

The findings were far from unanimous, however, as a poll released Saturday by Sienna Research and The New York Times showed Harris ahead by four points in Pennsylvania, which would be enough to swing the 287-251 result into a narrow 270-268.

2024 GE: NEW/@SienaResearch

PENNSYLVANIA
Harris: 50%
Trump: 46%
—
Harris: 46%
Trump: 44%
RFK Jr: 4%
Other: 2%
—
senate
Casey (inc): 51%
McCormick: 37%
⬜ Undecided: 11%
——
WISCONSIN
Harris: 50%
Trump: 46%
—
Harris: 49%
Trump: 43%… pic.twitter.com/YxsIJaXKSA

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 11, 2024

Meanwhile, Ipsos maintained that opponents were in a “statistical dead heat” in the seven battleground states mentioned by a margin of 2.2%.

“A new survey of Americans living in the swing states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada finds that Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are in a statistical hot dead for the presidency,” Ipsos said. informed Thursday “The poll shows that many people in swing states are concerned about inflation, immigration and political extremism or polarization.”

“When asked how the candidates perform, Trump trails Harris on inflation and immigration, while neither candidate has a clear lead on political extremism and polarization,” the report continued.

Of these issues, inflation was considered the most important by 52% of voters (given the option to choose three) with immigration at 32% and political extremism at 24%. They were followed by crime or gun violence, the cost or availability of health care, and housing at 21 percent, 18 percent, and 17 percent, respectively.

Despite the considerable weight in the Keystone state, which Trump had also won in 2016 when he defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Harris had chosen not to choose Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro as his running mate, choosing in his place the Governor of Minnesota Tim Walz.

face continuous pressure from the Non-Aligned National Movement to bow to its Hamas sympathies or lose its support, critics argued that the vice president's choice had conditioned her attitude toward Israel with Harvard Law Professor Emeritus Alan Dershowitz suggesting, “in an effort to appease anti-Israel progressives. , Shapiro went out of his way to overstate his criticism of Prime Minister Netanyahu, calling him 'one of the worst leaders of all time.'

“Whatever the precise reason,” the constitutional scholar he continued“Shapiro's rejection was a victory for the anti-Israel and often anti-Jewish elements of the progressive left of the Democratic Party. It was a defeat for moderates who hoped to broaden Harris' base of support.”

Staff writer

A native of Brooklyn, NY, Kevin Haggerty is a graduate of Hunter College, where he studied Cultural Anthropology and Geography. An avid reader and seeker of truth, he currently resides in Texas with his wife and dog, and when he's not researching current events and their impacts, you'll find him spending time with friends and family or working on his next novel the

Latest messages from Kevin Haggerty (see everything)

We have zero tolerance for comments that contain violence, racism, profanity, profanity, doxing, or rude behavior. If a comment is spam, instead of replying to it, click the ∨ icon below and to the right of that comment. Thank you for engaging with us in a fruitful conversation.