I want to invite your thoughts on some questions, because they are beyond me, and maybe we can make some educated guesses together. I’ll post this and then shut up over the weekend to allow space for discussion. So.
first
In 2019, the Republican candidate for governor of Kentucky obtained just under 705,000 votes. In 2023, the Republican candidate for governor of Kentucky obtained 627,000 votes. There are a dozen ways to explain this 12%-plus loss of Republican support in a red state at a time when the repulsive, insane Democratic Party is the party of maiming trans children and prosecuting political opposition, and the explanations have been discussed extensively elsewhere. , but I want to suggest the possibility of a different reason:
And if Republican voters just got it really Tired of the Republican Party? A couple of examples represent the entire list:
The DOJ is obviously politicizing American justice, and congressional Republicans are tweeting about it very loudly. The border is wide open, and Republicans in Congress have written several strongly worded letters. Etc. Merrick Garland and Alejandro Mayorkas have considerable job security, which is quite remarkable.
What if endless Republican weakness has just turned a growing percentage of Republican voters into total indifference? What is the future of a political party that has no focus but gets along to get along? What a trajectory it involves infinitely give in? who votes this again and again, and why?
Although I can’t prove it, it seems to me that a growing number of Republican-leaning voters have come to the conclusion that “we can’t vote our way out of this,” and so they won’t keep trying. They see that voting for Republican politicians is not a meaningful act, so they don’t bother. The GOP has Ronna McDanieled into irrelevance.
second
The important paradox Here is that the more the political “mainstream” is despised, the more it will prevail, as voters, people outside the political class, withdraw from participation. Something that fails will succeed; worthless institutions and pathetic leaders will win the support of a growing percentage of a shrinking electorate. Tell me about that conclusion, because I’m having a hard time finding a way around it.
third
Polls suggest both Biden and Trump have around 30% enthusiastic support among voters and around half of the electorate overwhelmingly. I wouldn’t vote either“Fifty-one percent of voters said there is no chance they will vote for Biden, the poll found, and 48 percent said there is no chance they will vote for Trump.” Meanwhile, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. hovers around 40% favorable in polls and has announced that his candidacy is now independent, free of connection to a political party.
So the political party that has now accused and sued the Republican front-runner in five different chambers and counting faces a challenge from an independent with a hugely famous name challenging a fallen Democratic POTUS while mumbling and smearing his way corrupt and stupid in the elections. course The numbers get interesting quickly: Trump 30%, Biden 30%, Kennedy 40%.
When Jack Smith accuses Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.? Under these circumstances, how likely is it that Kennedy will become a target of the law?
The Democrats have already done it set up the impeachment of Ron DeSantis, should he become the Republican front-runner:
This is the normal policy of the Democratic Party, now. If Kennedy becomes a serious threat, how far will they go?
Tell me you can’t imagine Biden going up against a Republican front-runner who is impeached and a strong independent candidate who is impeached. Because I sure can.
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