This image is one that Cameron and the Republicans must overcome. Despite being a Democrat in a state Trump won by 26 points in 2020, Beshear remains wildly popular. Between July and September this year, Quarterly Governor Approval Ratings from Morning Consult showed that 60 percent of Kentucky voters, including 43 percent of Republicans, had a positive impression of his job performance.
But Biden won just 36 percent of the vote in Kentucky in 2020, and has since become much less popular. This provided an opening for the Republicans.
Adams, the secretary of state, said his campaign recently commissioned a poll that found Kentucky Republicans are not connected to the state race, suggesting the way to turn them on is to lean for national politics.
“They’re watching Fox News. They’re focused on Kevin McCarthy and Jim Jordan and Donald Trump, and they’re obfuscating state and local issues,” Adams said.
The national polarization of politics has become a major challenge for down-ballot candidates whose chances of breaking away from their partisan labels have rapidly diminished. Fewer and fewer governors over time lead states that vote for the opposite party in presidential elections.
If Beshear loses next week, that would leave just seven governors from the party that lost the 2020 presidential election in their states, thanks to Gov.-elect Jeff Landry. victory in Louisiana last month, and only two would be Democrats. (Republicans could also cede two of their blue-state governorships in the next two years in states that are turning bluer: New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu is retiring next year and Gov. Virginia Glenn Youngkin is term-limited in November 2025. )
And Beshear’s task is, in many ways, more difficult than that of his colleagues. Only Vermont Gov. Phil Scott, a Republican who leads a state Biden won by 35 points in 2020, is a bigger value compared to his state’s partisan tilt.
Beshear is eager to nod to bipartisanship any chance he gets. In answers to reporters’ questions about running as a Democrat in Kentucky, he echoes fine-tuned arguments about “recognizing that a good job isn’t Democrat or Republican” and “a new bridge isn’t red or blue.”
And even in a red state, some of their ads Portraying Cameron’s support for the state’s near-total abortion ban as an extreme position.
Cameron doesn’t shy away from local issues, such as concerns about affordability, taxes and crime, but is always eager to use them to tie Beshear to his national party.
“I’m talking about Andy Beshear and the fact that he supported Joe Biden,” Cameron told POLITICO, before rattling off a list of “dinner table” issues, including rising food costs and ‘energy that have also hurt Biden’s economic record. “All of these relate to issues related to Andy Beshear, and we will continue to talk about these things.”
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