Kamala Harris, the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, is poised to consolidate voters who support legal abortion, a demographic that was not as supportive of President Joe Biden in 2024 as it was in 2020 and 2022. Biden's drop in popularity among pro-choice voters is partly due to concerns about his age and the perceived downplaying of the abortion issue, especially in the face of other pressing issues such as inflation and the actions of former President Donald Trump.
With Harris at the helm, Democrats hope to refocus voters on the issue of abortion rights and regain support from voters who drifted away from Biden. Harris' approach to discussing the issue is considered more effective than Biden's, with Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg stating that Harris articulates the issue in a way that Biden did not.
In the 2020 and 2022 campaigns, Biden and other Democratic candidates received overwhelming support from voters who supported legal abortion. However, recent polls before Biden left the race showed that he was not winning such a large share of voters who support abortion rights.
Harris' approach to the abortion debate not only demonstrates more passion than Biden's, but also connects it to larger issues more effectively. She places abortion at the center of a broader effort by conservatives to roll back rights and freedoms, including voting rights and protections for LGBTQ people. She further argues that the debate reflects a desire among conservatives to reverse the broader advances women have made in society over the past generation.
However, Republicans believe that even if Harris succeeds in energizing voters who support abortion rights, he is unlikely to regain the high levels of support that Democrats achieved in 2020 and 2022 between these voters They argue that the issue is less prominent in this year's presidential race and that Trump is less vulnerable than other Republican candidates two years ago.
In conclusion, while Harris can make the Democrats' case on abortion rights more effectively than Biden, it remains to be seen whether that will be enough to overcome the advantages of his Republican opponents.
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