Democratic strategist pours cold water on Rust Belt Democrats' hopes

Vice President Kamala Harris may be losing supporters in the Rust Belt even as she closes a gap in the polls with former President Donald Trump, a Democratic strategist warned Monday.

Vice President Kamala Harris claimed the delegates needed to claim the Democratic nomination Tuesday, two days after President Joe Biden announced he would not accept the Democratic nomination and endorse her as a replacement in the 2024 presidential election against former President donald trump Julian Epstein, a former chief counsel for the House Judiciary Committee, said working-class voters were moving more toward Trump on “Mornings with Mary.”

“You really have to average the polls,” Epstein explained to “Mornings With Maria” co-host Cheryl Casone. “If you average the polls, Donald Trump is still ahead by a point or two in the national polls and still ahead in most of the battleground states. That's according to five of the seven most recent polls. So , what we've seen is that the race has returned to the pre-debate norm it's been stuck in all year.” (RELATED: 'Don't Think Many Men Will Vote for Harris': State Elector oscillating tells CNN he doubts Harris can carry a battlefield)

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'Not so good for Harris': Democratic strategist pours cold water on Dems' Rust Belt hopes pic.twitter.com/dLOwpfQG3F

— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) July 29, 2024

Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by 1.7% in a national head-to-head showdown, according to the July 5-25 Real Clear Polling average, with Trump's lead growing to 1.8% when Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein and independent presidential candidates Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are included in the surveys.

By comparison, Trump had a 3.1 percent lead over President Joe Biden in a national head-to-head matchup before the president ended his re-election bid, according to the RealClearPolling polling average, with the lead which widened to 4.2% when Stein, Kennedy, and West were included in the polls.

“The one change that you're seeing, you know, you really have to look at the crosstabs of the polls, and the crosstabs are a great way for your viewers to say that you're looking at the demographic breakdown of what's in the polls “, Epstein. it continued. “The significant change we're seeing is that Kamala Harris seems to be attracting more young voters who were leaving the Democratic Party and more black voters who were also leaving the Democratic Party under Biden and that's good for her. On the other hand, voters who are more seniors and working-class voters seem to be moving toward Trump, that's bad news for her.”

“The reason it's bad news for her is because most of the voters in the Midwestern states, the rust belt swings, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are older and working class,” Epstein said. “So basically what's happened, when you go back to the pre-debate norm, but you've traded a California voter for a Pennsylvania voter, which is not so good for Harris.”

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