Another crucial battleground state poll spells bad news for Biden

Former President Trump now leads President Joe Biden in five of six key states by substantial margins, according to a new poll by The New York Times and Sierra College.

Voters polled in Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan expressed a preference for Trump in the 2024 election over Biden by a margin of three to 10 points, with the exception of the swing state of Wisconsin, where Biden has a slight advantage. about Trump, according to the poll. With voters “overwhelmingly” seeing the country moving in the wrong direction, Biden’s “multiracial, multigenerational coalition” appears to be coming apart at the seams, the Times reported.

Bloomberg News and Morning Query poll similarly, it showed Trump leading in an average of several swing states, leading Biden 47 percent to 43 percent in Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The poll, conducted Oct. 5-10, showed Trump ahead in every battleground state except Michigan, where he was tied with Biden, and Nevada, which favored Biden by three points.

Although Trump even secured a presidential victory in 2016 with the help of several of these swing states, including Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, Biden he won the six important swing states in 2020.

Many groups that have traditionally supported Biden and Democrats saw much softer support in the poll. Biden’s lead among Hispanics narrowed to single digits, and his lead among voters under 30 is down to just one percentage point, according to the Times.

President Biden is trailing Donald Trump in five of the six most important battleground states a year before the 2024 election, new polls from The New York Times and Siena College have found. https://t.co/vkZgb4pC8G

— The New York Times (@nytimes) November 5, 2023

Poll shows Trump with 22% support from African-Americans, a group Trump won as simple 8% in 2020. If Trump received 22% of the black vote in November, it would represent the largest support of black voters for decades.

If those poll results hold for next November, Trump would need to win 300 electoral college votes, well above the 270 needed to win, the Times reports.

Voters see Biden as “too old and” worry about his mental activity and policies; while Trump’s policies were more likely to have been seen as helping them, according to the Times.

The poll, conducted from October 22, 2023 to November 3, 2023, included 3,662 registered voters in six swing states and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 points.

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